People

88.0 MAGA

Arthur Hayes

Arthur Hayes is an American entrepreneur and derivatives trader best known as the co-founder and former CEO of cryptocurrency exchange BitMEX. Before founding BitMEX, he worked in equity derivatives trading at Deutsche Bank and Citigroup.

Key Evidence

Representative records from the current filtered evidence set.

Strongest Signal

Policy Action

Nov 10, 2023

Pro-MAGA
8 Weight Impact on the score.
80% Confidence How strong and reliable the sourcing appears.

Support for Bitcoin as a Tool Against 'Woke' Banking

Hayes has argued that Bitcoin serves as a check against the 'woke' banking system and ESG-driven financial exclusion, themes that are central to the MAGA economic platform.

Latest Development

Public Statement

Jul 01, 2024

Neutral
4 Weight Impact on the score.
90% Confidence How strong and reliable the sourcing appears.

Skepticism of Political Sincerity

Despite favoring Trump's policies, Hayes has expressed skepticism about whether any politician, including Trump, truly cares about the underlying philosophy of decentralization, viewing their support as purely transactional for votes.

Strongest Pro-MAGA

Public Statement

May 14, 2024

Pro-MAGA
6 Weight Impact on the score.
90% Confidence How strong and reliable the sourcing appears.

Endorsement of Trump's Crypto Pivot

In his essay 'Pumping Weights,' Hayes expressed support for Donald Trump's shift toward a pro-crypto platform, suggesting that a Trump victory would be more beneficial for the digital asset industry than a continuation of the Biden adminis…

Evidence Distribution

Active and disputed public evidence by direction and time.

Pro-MAGA
5 (83%)
Neutral
1 (17%)
Not MAGA
0 (0%)

Evidence Over Time

Chronological view of the current filtered evidence set.

Evidence & Sources

Showing 6 matched evidence items. Page 1 of 1. This is the full source-review ledger for the current filtered set.

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Public Statement

Jul 01, 2024

Neutral
4 Weight Impact on the score.
90% Confidence How strong and reliable the sourcing appears.

Skepticism of Political Sincerity

Despite favoring Trump's policies, Hayes has expressed skepticism about whether any politician, including Trump, truly cares about the underlying philosophy of decentralization, viewing their support as purely transactional for votes.

Notes: Hayes often takes a cynical view of all government actors.

Agent rationale

This provides necessary balance, showing that while he may support MAGA outcomes, he does not necessarily identify as a MAGA loyalist, but rather a pragmatist.

Sources

  1. CoinDesk (Dec 11, 2025)

Public Statement

Jun 20, 2024

Pro-MAGA
6 Weight Impact on the score.
85% Confidence How strong and reliable the sourcing appears.

Prediction of Trump Victory Impact on Markets

Hayes has publicly analyzed the 'Trump Trade,' predicting that a second Trump term would lead to massive fiscal stimulus and a weaker dollar, which he views as a 'rocket fuel' for Bitcoin prices.

Notes: He views the MAGA economic agenda as inflationary and thus beneficial for hard assets.

Agent rationale

Economic alignment with the anticipated outcomes of MAGA policy (fiscal expansion) drives his professional support for the movement's success.

Sources

  1. Arkham Intelligence (Sep 10, 2025)

Public Statement

May 14, 2024

Pro-MAGA
6 Weight Impact on the score.
90% Confidence How strong and reliable the sourcing appears.

Endorsement of Trump's Crypto Pivot

In his essay 'Pumping Weights,' Hayes expressed support for Donald Trump's shift toward a pro-crypto platform, suggesting that a Trump victory would be more beneficial for the digital asset industry than a continuation of the Biden administration's policies.

Notes: Hayes noted that Trump's outreach to the crypto community was a savvy political move.

Agent rationale

Hayes explicitly aligns with the MAGA platform's specific pivot toward cryptocurrency deregulation, viewing it as a superior alternative to current Democratic oversight.

Sources

  1. Medium - CryptoHayes (May 14, 2024)

Associations & Advocacy

Jan 15, 2024

Pro-MAGA
4 Weight Impact on the score.
75% Confidence How strong and reliable the sourcing appears.

Alignment with Pro-Trump Crypto Influencers

Hayes frequently interacts with and is cited by prominent pro-MAGA crypto figures who view him as a martyr of the 'administrative state' due to his prosecution by the DOJ.

Notes: His narrative of being targeted by the 'Deep State' is a common trope in MAGA-aligned crypto circles.

Agent rationale

While he doesn't lead a political organization, his status as a 'persecuted' founder creates a symbolic link to the MAGA narrative of government overreach.

Sources

  1. Wikipedia (Aug 06, 2021)

Policy Action

Nov 10, 2023

Pro-MAGA
8 Weight Impact on the score.
80% Confidence How strong and reliable the sourcing appears.

Support for Bitcoin as a Tool Against 'Woke' Banking

Hayes has argued that Bitcoin serves as a check against the 'woke' banking system and ESG-driven financial exclusion, themes that are central to the MAGA economic platform.

Notes: He frames crypto as 'financial sovereignty' against institutional social engineering.

Agent rationale

His opposition to ESG and 'woke' finance directly mirrors the policy priorities of the MAGA movement.

Sources

  1. Medium - CryptoHayes (Nov 28, 2023)

Public Statement

Mar 15, 2023

Pro-MAGA
5 Weight Impact on the score.
85% Confidence How strong and reliable the sourcing appears.

Criticism of 'Operation Choke Point 2.0'

Hayes has frequently criticized the Biden administration's regulatory approach to crypto, labeling it 'Operation Choke Point 2.0,' and has argued that the MAGA-led Republican platform offers a necessary correction to these policies.

Notes: This term is widely used in MAGA circles to describe perceived weaponization of the financial system against political or industry outsiders.

Agent rationale

By adopting the 'Choke Point' narrative, Hayes aligns his rhetoric with a core MAGA grievance regarding the 'Deep State' and regulatory overreach.

Sources

  1. Medium - CryptoHayes (Mar 15, 2023)